Dec 05, 2011 12:32 EST
If the world?s central banks combined to produce a coordinate economic stimulus, then economic Armageddon could be stalled until the 4-year cycle peaks next year. . If the world?s central banks combined to produce a coordinate economic stimulus, then economic Armageddon could be stalled until the 4-year cycle peaks next year.
Sep 23, 2011 09:28 EDT
If the events of the past few months are any indication, the worst fears of the pundits will be realized going forward. It would mean a possible return of the Credit Crisis. . The year 2011 is in many ways a Year of Destiny. The year-to-date has seen revolutions in the mid East, natural disasters in the U.S. and globally, a debt crisis in Europe and the potential of another economic recession in the U.S. On the financial front the year 2011 has also brought on the beginnings of a new bear market which should carry us into the fateful year 2014 when the dominant long-term 120-year cycle bottoms.
Sep 12, 2011 12:38 EDT
Gold's reign as the safe haven du jour has been virtually unchallenged since the fourth quarter of 2008. . The year 2011 has been a tumultuous one for market participants and non-participants alike. In just the last few months we?ve witnessed record extremes in the weather in the U.S., revolutions in the mid East region and exceptionally high levels of volatility in global financial markets.
Jul 19, 2011 09:31 EDT
Gold benefits from both extremes of the 60-year cycle, namely hyper inflation and hyper deflation . Despite the undue attention that has been paid to the chimera of inflation this year, it should be clear by now that deflation is the far greater structural problem. One clue that deflation, not inflation, is the main issue can be seen in the biggest form of savings and investment among the U.S. middle class, namely real estate.
Jul 13, 2011 10:23 EDT
The 2008 credit crisis was likely only the proverbial "shot across the bow" warning of even worse things to come before the cycle bottoms in late 2014 . In light of the impressive equities market rally from 2009 through 2011, some are wondering if perhaps the economic long wave has bottomed early. I recently received an email asking a question that is relevant to our discussion. He writes, ?Suppose the big 120-year cycle hit a few years early, which for a cycle this long would certainly be possible. Perhaps the March 2009, low was the deflationary 120-year cycle low point, and the bull market just carries on for several more years. Is this possible??
Dec 06, 2010 13:04 EST
As the first big wave of retiring Boomers begins in 2011, the search for higher yields will increase. . After the bottom of the 4-year cycle in September the stock market began what has been described, in the words of Samuel J. Kress, ?the final cyclical bull market of the post-World War 2 expansionary era.? The months ahead could well be the last chance for individuals to prepare for the coming ?winter? phase of the deflationary 60-year cycle which enters its final ?hard down? phase in 2012 and bottoms in 2014.